Nukes for peace

By Khalid Iqbal | Published: June 29, 2009

Now it is the fantasy like fear of falling of these weapons in the hands of Taliban, which is being drummed up to create an unwarranted frenzy. Pakistan's nuclear assets' security and safety is being questioned in a non-professional way, mostly by pseudo experts. They sound more like lobbyists for the vested interests that be. This carefully structured and intricately timed orchestration seems to be a well thought out strategy to keep Pakistan under strain in anticipation to forthcoming international conference on nuclear disarmament, tentatively planned for next year. The objective could be to rope in Pakistan into some kind of discriminatory non-proliferation regimes.
Another plausible reason for creating the hype is to torpedo Pakistan's efforts for gaining access to civilian usage of nuclear know-how, especially in the power generation domain. These days Pakistan is earnestly pursuing strategic arrangements with friendly countries on the pattern of US-India nuclear agreement. It is in the better interest of world community that Pakistan be given institutionalised access to the usage of nuclear technology in the field of non-weapon domains. Under such an umbrella concurrence, multinational parameters shall be defined and specific IAEA safeguards would become binding upon Pakistan. Therefore, international community should facilitate Pakistan in entering into an accountability mechanism in the field of power generation as well as other non-military applications.
From historic perspective, Pakistan has always been an ardent supporter of non-proliferation of nuclear weapons, but on the basis of equity. We have been proposing arrangements for keeping our region free of nuclear weapons; however our genuine security compulsions have forced us to develop nuclear weapons. Even then, Pakistan has not entered into an arms race and we have worked out our weapons requirement in line with the minimum credible deterrence calculus. Furthermore, we have all along been pursuing a programme of capacity building for making our nukes safer to store and operate.
Pakistan essentially needs nuclear weapons because our region is nuclearised and we need to counter balance India's overwhelming predominance in the conventional regime. Therefore, before considering any denuclearisation proposal, Pakistan must have a requisite balancing parity in the conventional domain to pose credible deterrence and to thwart an aggression, should the deterrence collapse. Hence, any arms reduction proposition in Pak-India context has to be a composite nuclear-conventional package. Otherwise, simple denuclearisation of India and Pakistan could unleash conventional wars for settling the lingering disputes, as the side having numerical advantage in conventional regime (always India!) shall be tempted to employ coercive strategy and even go to war for a favourable solution of simmering conflicts.
It is an interesting phenomenon that through a process of doctrinal evolution, conventional and nuclear doctrines have intricately enmeshed in a way that it is no longer possible to discern them individually. These have, indeed, become an elusive continuum. Practically, due to recently emerged nuclear weapon states, their respective regions have lost the option of going into even a limited conventional conflict, without the fear of escalating into a nuclear shoot out. Unlike the superpowers' nuclear dynamics of yesteryears, that resulted in an ever-spiralling arms race, in the regional settings, nuclear weapons have become a source of stability. There have not been hysterical nuclear arms races in the nuclearised regions of the world.
Pakistan has a national consensus with regard to the necessity of its nuclear assets and the requirement of a flawless physical security and operational safety of these possessions. A well acknowledged robust command and control arrangement and a nuclear materials' regulatory mechanism are already in place to ensure safety and security of these weapons.
Pakistan is a responsible state and has a foolproof system of physical and operational security of nuclear assets. Elements with corporate interest to discredit this capability of Pakistan need to think rationally and talk logically. Sporadic rhetoric aside, Taliban neither have the capacity nor the capability to lay their hands on nukes, what to talk of operating these. Such a venture (read misadventure) is beyond the faculty of these loud mouths.
These nukes underwrite the assurance of regional peace and stability in South Asia, a noble cause indeed!
The writer is a former air commodore
E-mail: khalid3408@gmail.com

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