Not to anyone’s astonishment, the General Elections 2024 in Pakistan were no short of any political and social mayhem. Just like every other event in this country, these elections too sparked grievous concerns in national and international media about the credibility of our political process in general and the establishment’s engineering of the electoral process in particular.
Who to blame is the question. The answers, perhaps, are too many. The loudest, which by default are the populists, voices would sound enthusiastically to call the establishment as the only criminal. But is it the complete story? We shall dissect.
In Pakistan, interestingly, there are three phases of the voting process. The first phase is the pre-ballot day phase. This phase is usually won by the party with the strongest PR team and vocal voices which in these elections was PTI. The second phase is the voting day stage, the winner of which is decided a) by the party’s voters turnout, and b) by the one’s counting the votes. To decide the winner of this phase is the most contentious, especially where “selection”, and not elections, is under process. The final and delayed phase is when the actual player of the process intervenes and decides who it wants to work with this time around; the process currently underway, characterized by closed door meetings and changing allegiances.
This is by now beyond the shadow of any doubt that PTI emerged as the most successful party, almost across the country, especially in its strongholds despite being brutally victimized. PML-N, the one supposedly backed by the establishment this time around, performed rather poorly than they would have anticipated which their supremo Nawaz Sharif in his recent address admitted. PPP, the third largest party, on the other hand is also expecting some major roles if a coalition is to be formed. Despite the disputed results, including the 18 NA seats challenged by the PTI leadership, the criteria to win elections is still the old one i.e the better the party “cooperates” with the establishment, the greater their chances.
By this logic, the PTI’s position currently is the weakest and has to be the last one to be expected to assume the premiership of the country and the other important seats. In 2018, it was the opposite with PTI almost on the same page with the establishment and getting all the highly contested seats. They too know this criteria and, once the tides favor again, they will be happily re-engaging and “cooperating” with the establishment as they did in their post 2018 tenure.
This criteria of “selection” has been adopted by all the three major parties one after the other since 2008 which reflects that our political progress has barely evolved. The masses, partly due to the enthusiastic oratory and partly due to ignorance, vote in a party’s favor without even asking for their party’s manifestos for example. This makes manipulation easier and exploitation easily accessible.
The only way out from the otherwise continuous loop of the establishment’s lap-sitting is the parties’ political cooperation. With political divisions stooping so low to target the personal lives of the politicians and becoming a stage of personal vendetta, the establishment’s process is only made easier to exploit the divisions and keep the king making powers within itself. It is the indispensable need of the hour that all the political actors come out of their petty politics and put a full stop to the participation of the non-political forces in the electoral process which is only possible by not allowing their political divisions so easily exploitable by the non-political actors and keeping the national interest ahead of the personal.
Asad Marwat
The writer is a freelance journalist and can be reached at asad.mrwt.37@gmail.com